The expert assessed the situation in the Armenian-Azerbaijani border
Armenia and Azerbaijan, on the border where in recent days there is aggravation of the situation, you would most likely sit at the negotiating table, otherwise it will be difficult to stop a possible military conflict, says a senior research fellow name of Yevgeny Primakov Russian Academy of Sciences Viktor Nadein-Raevsky.
"The alternative to negotiations, one - military conflict and its aggravation. To stop it will be much harder than the calm side now," said Nadein-Rayevsky RIA Novosti.
President of Azerbaijan Ilham Aliyev said earlier that the Azerbaijani people are tired of pointless negotiations on settlement of the Karabakh conflict, in his words, the mediators should understand that.
The expert has noted that such statements by Azerbaijani leader does not for the first time. "Aliyev is not the first time such claims, the desire to experience the power of a long time they have felt. They sure got enough priority in armaments, the number of the army, the funding that they are able to win a decisive victory over the Armenians. And the attempt of provocation went far beyond Nagorno-Karabakh, it is a purely Armenian-Azerbaijani border, a very different character to the conflict, is extremely dangerous, it is the expansion into other areas," - he said.
"Azerbaijan in this case it is not excluded that again, as in 2016, to test the strength of the Armenian defenses. For Russia, this is not a suitable option, or the Armenian attempts of attacks or Azerbaijan, we are interested in the fact that there was calm," - said the expert.
According to him, formed a very dangerous situation. "Moreover, the CSTO even the meeting did not hold. We are talking about the immediate border of two States, one of which is a CSTO member, and formally the organization was to advocate for its members. But member States of the CSTO are not eager to enter into a military conflict," - says Nadein-Raevskii.
As he said, Russia therefore made efforts to stop the aggravation. The leadership of Armenia and Azerbaijan, according to the expert, wants to shift the attention of citizens from internal problems to external. "This is dangerous, because when there are such sentiments, the escalation is not excluded," he said.
The conflict in Nagorno-Karabakh began in February 1988 when Nagorno-Karabakh Autonomous region announced its secession from the Azerbaijan SSR. In the course of the armed conflict in 1992-1994, Azerbaijan lost control over Nagorno-Karabakh and seven adjacent districts. Since 1992 negotiations on peaceful settlement of the conflict within the OSCE Minsk group, headed by three co - chairs-Russia, USA and France.
Began on 12 July a clash on Armenian-Azerbaijani border continues for several days in the neighboring areas - the Tavush and Tovuz, bordering also with Georgia and located a few hundred kilometers from the unrecognized Nagorno-Karabakh, where the situation was calm. In the place of the attacks are military positions stationed near the village of Movses. According to Baku, died 11 Azerbaijani servicemen, including a General. The Armenian side announced the deaths of four and wounding ten of the military. Azerbaijan and Armenia blame for the attacks on each other. A number of countries and international organizations expressed concern about the situation on the Armenian-Azerbaijani border and urged the parties to dialogue. The Russian foreign Ministry said it was ready to assist Baku and Yerevan support to stabilize the situation.