London has not used the possibility to extend the transitional period after Brexit
The transition period after Brеxit will not be renewed - Britain has not used consistent with the EU the possibility to file a request for such extension before the expiration of June. Now the fate of future relations with the European Union is in the hands of the negotiators - that their talents will determine whether it will maintain the United Kingdom's close trade and economic links with continental Europe, or context, London and Brussels in 2021 will be built in accordance with the rules and tariffs of the WTO.
Currently, the negotiations with the EU on a trade agreement actually stopped. The British side accused Brussels of politicization of the process and demanded to change the tone. After the fourth round of parties stated that disputes, including fisheries, are preserved and recognized that have reached the maximum of what is possible with virtual negotiations. Meeting the pandemic coronavirus was conducted by video conference. Sign the agreement and ratify it required up to the end of 2020. If the document will not be accepted, the parties will spread, breaking all the relations and interaction.
The Director of the center for the study of Brexit at the University of Birmingham Professor Alex de Ruyter told RIA Novosti that the probability of agreement within the established deadlines is very minimal and the parties may "disagree" without a deal. Key areas where differences remain between London and Brussels, de Ruyter called labour legislation, issues of state and environmental standards.
"Britain says that the EU does not include the terms on which insists on negotiations with London, in the draft agreement of free trade with Japan and Canada. The EU's response, naturally, is that the proximity of the UK is the main factor in this issue. I believe that the imperative of the EU is political: the state, the former member (of the EU) could not get a good yield... the fishing industry is also a significant factor, especially given its totemic status in Britain" - said the expert.
Earlier, the British authorities repeatedly declared that do not intend to request extension of the transition period and the time are clearly identified in national legislation. About it told the Prime Minister and Boris Johnson, and the head of the Secretariat of the Cabinet of Ministers Michael Gove and the Cabinet member penny Mordaunt. While grove said that officially informed the EU about the position of the British side on 12 June. The European Union acknowledged that it has received notice.
To extend the transition period requested the authorities of Scotland and Wales but were refused.
And the Prime Minister and the Ministers expressed the need to accelerate negotiations on a trade agreement. Johnson in the beginning of this week even claimed he is not planning to continue the negotiation process after September and announced that the meeting of the negotiators is scheduled for July and August.
How the negotiations will be shifted from the dead point, is unknown. Former Minister of environment, MP Theresa Villiers said that the government will not make concessions of the EU in the fisheries.
"We do not expect that the Cabinet of Boris (Johnson) will agree to a compromise... I see no signs that the British government substantially depart from what is proposed (negotiators) now," - told reporters Villiers, calling the existing policy in respect of the fishery providing for the access of European ships in British waters - "extremely unfair."
Not ready to give up the Europeans. According to de Ruyter, the Dutch, the French, Spaniards and Danes have the same strong, as in Britain, tradition and unlikely to agree to an agreement that does not provide free access for their fishing vessels in British waters.
According to the Professor, if the British really want to conclude a trade agreement by the end of the year, London needs to find a way to the key of divergence fields and fishing.
"I don't see that the EU has backed away from these topics because for them it is a fundamental question. And I'm not convinced that the British government wants to conclude the deal for far-right supporters of Brexit, which insists on the open market, he Brexit has always been the fact that used in order to achieve non-EU regulation. And all that is beyond the scope of free trade agreements, like canadian, is simply unacceptable. For them, I think, would be the preferred gap without an agreement", - said de Ruyter.