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The expert doubted the forecast of the dollar for 90 rubles

Director for analysis of financial markets and macroeconomics UK "Alfa-Capital" Vladimir Bragin questioned the realism of the prognosis for growth of the dollar to 90 rubles, the opinion he expressed in an interview with RBC.

Previously, the Center for macroeconomic analysis and short-term forecasting (CMASF) published a forecast that the dollar may rise to 90 rubles in the case that the world will begin a second outbreak of the coronavirus and the authorities will again have to enter the appropriate constraints.

As explained Bragin, sustainable output rate of the dollar to the level of 90 rubles will require correction of the budget rules. "Because the fiscal rule even a very low oil prices normally experienced by the ruble", - he said. At the end of may the head of the Central Bank Elvira Nabiullina stressed that the need to adjust the budget rules is not discussed.

Russia, said the expert, looks more advantageous compared to other developing countries from the point of view of credit risk in the event of a second wave of coronavirus sale in the markets can be more selective. "I'm in a pessimistic scenario while laying the buck at about 80 rubles," — he added.

The head of VTB Andrey Kostin in an interview to Business FM on Wednesday expressed the view that the dollar should cost no more than 70 rubles, noting that he was not surprised by the rapid recovery of the ruble. "Overall, the Russian economy after all, has considerable reserve, and the macroeconomic indicators are unique," he said.

Interviewees RIA Novosti experts believe that the preservation of such factors of growth of the ruble, as support for oil prices before the OPEC meeting , the demand for risky assets, in particular, OFZ and sale of foreign currency by the Bank of Russia on the budgetary rule, it may strengthen against the dollar by approximately 2% to current levels, to 67.3 67.5 per ruble.

In early June, the ruble pared losses after March 6, when the collapse of the former OPEC deal . According to the exchange rate established on 4 June by the Central Bank, the American currency will cost 68,3413 ruble, European - 76,6243 of the ruble.