Expected on 24 July, the reduction of the key rate of the Central Bank will have little impact on the exchange rate, however, the comments of the regulator on the prospects for monetary policy will be the main reference point for exchange rate dynamics, according to respondents RIA Novosti experts.
At the next meeting of the Board of Directors of the Bank of Russia July 24, we expect another reduction of the key rate from the current 4.5% per annum, to which the indicator came last June - a meeting of the Board of Directors. Then the rate was reduced from 1 percentage point for the first time in five years to a historic low.
The dollar by the end of the current year will fall to 66 rubles, with this exchange rate and the average annual price of oil in 50 dollars for barrel the budget deficit of Russia will be in 2020 at 5% of GDP, said in an interview with RIA Novosti General Director of rating Agency "Expert RA" Sergey Tishchenko.
The last time the dollar was trading around 66 rubles at the beginning of March this year. However, after the collapse of OPEC transactions and statements of a number of countries of the former Alliance on plans to increase production at rapidly falling demand due to the coronavirus began a steep dive in oil prices. The ruble is not stand the pressure and began to weaken: the value of the dollar in the second half of March has jumped to above 80 rubles.